Carlin Economics and Science

With emphasis on climate change

Implications of EPA’s Proposed ACE Replacement for the CPP

This week EPA announced their proposed Affordable Clean Energy (ACE) replacement regulation for the Obama Administration’s Clean Power Plan (CPP). The Obama Administration’s CPP regulation was intended to achieve much of the CO2 emissions reductions the US proposed under the Paris climate accord. The new ACE regulation is a substantially reduced version of the CPP, which gives much more power to the states and less to the EPA, and assumes no change in the greenhouse gas Endangerment Finding (EF).

This means that the Trump Administration is not currently challenging the EF. This means that EPA will have to do something to reduce CO2 emissions in their new ACE, just not as much as under the CPP. And the EF will continue to lurk in the background to tempt possible future Democratic Administration to quickly reinstitute the CPP should they come back to power.

What May Happen if the Federal Courts Decide to Throw Out the ACE?

If this should happen, Myron Ebell of the Competitive Enterprise Institute advocates that EPA should reconsider the Endangerment Finding issued by the Obama EPA, claiming the greenhouse gases are endangering the nation’s health and welfare. If the reconsideration concludes that this is not the case, EPA could no longer regulate emissions of carbon dioxide. As the readers of this blog know, I and many scientists believe that the EF should be reconsidered and revoked.

If all this comes to pass, the courts are likely to soon review the proposed ACE regulation, which may then lead to a reconsideration of the EF, which underpins the entire Obama EPA’s efforts to reduce emissions of CO2. All this may transpire over the next few years.

I believe that it would have been better to reconsider the EF now rather than first trying to weaken the proposed CPP regulation. But that is what the Trump Administration has chosen to do. The science simply does not support the validity of the EF, as frequently discussed on this blog, and the sooner it is killed the better. The climate alarmists may end up losing the EF war in an effort to win the CPP versus ACE battle. I hope so.

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The President is running hard to brand the Democrats as denigrators of America, disrespectful of police, pro crime, and anti economy. It’s a powerful indictment because true, sad to say.

Repealing the endangerment finding would only distract from even more powerful campaign themes. Also leaving it in place obliges left wing governors to curb co2 and this only makes them less electable in future. The democrats remain tied to their own horrible issue. Repealing the EF might help them escape the wrath of voters who have to pay up for windmills.

Joe

More power to the States. This works for the United Nations too. They take advantage of this weakness by also pushing the forcing of genders in bathrooms.

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